Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.082704 0.095942 0.110425 0.127419 0.146788 0.168147 0.193457
2024-12-29 0.063804 0.081606 0.102837 0.129913 0.163406 0.203349 0.254453
2025-01-05 0.049857 0.069553 0.094901 0.129659 0.175788 0.234573 0.314774
2025-01-12 0.038764 0.058536 0.085798 0.125686 0.182018 0.258089 0.367800
2025-01-19 0.031280 0.050764 0.079350 0.123672 0.189801 0.283745 0.425915
2025-01-26 0.027714 0.047916 0.079211 0.130228 0.210013 0.328346 0.514846
2025-02-02 0.024693 0.045274 0.078793 0.135996 0.229359 0.373296 0.608531
2025-02-09 0.020430 0.039740 0.072808 0.131870 0.232408 0.393400 0.665963
2025-02-16 0.017489 0.035948 0.069060 0.130733 0.239826 0.420625 0.736619
2025-02-23 0.014754 0.032014 0.064412 0.127258 0.242614 0.440187 0.796119
2025-03-02 0.012596 0.028791 0.060538 0.124539 0.246183 0.461045 0.859206
2025-03-09 0.011250 0.026973 0.059039 0.125982 0.257280 0.495689 0.948759
2025-03-16 0.009512 0.024036 0.054965 0.122038 0.258132 0.512693 1.009671
2025-03-23 0.008867 0.023435 0.055621 0.127697 0.278177 0.566719 1.142816
2025-03-30 0.007951 0.022023 0.054329 0.129119 0.289913 0.606168 1.252210
2025-04-06 0.006837 0.019904 0.051133 0.125987 0.291907 0.626936 1.327662
2025-04-13 0.005983 0.018268 0.048783 0.124382 0.296859 0.653851 1.417201
2025-04-20 0.005715 0.018151 0.050036 0.131190 0.320737 0.720998 1.592267
2025-04-27 0.005414 0.017885 0.050875 0.137113 0.343227 0.787087 1.770216
2025-05-04 0.004667 0.016166 0.047757 0.133012 0.342451 0.804085 1.847845
2025-05-11 0.004147 0.015016 0.045940 0.131894 0.348446 0.836024 1.959332
2025-05-18 0.003602 0.013661 0.043345 0.128404 0.348350 0.854502 2.043196
2025-05-25 0.003155 0.012519 0.041155 0.125669 0.349750 0.876342 2.135955